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Aluminum's Big Comeback: Why Alcoa's Stock is Soaring

Tuesday, January 13, 2026
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The Big Jump

Alcoa's stock has doubled in just six months. This isn't just a random spike—it's part of a larger story about global changes and how companies like Alcoa are adapting.

Why Aluminum Matters

Aluminum is everywhere:

  • Cars
  • Planes
  • Green energy tech

Demand is skyrocketing, especially in:

  • Electric vehicles
  • Data centers

Prices have shot up to over $3,000 per metric ton.

Supply and Smart Moves

  • China and Europe have cut back on production, making aluminum more valuable.
  • Alcoa's strategic moves:
  • Bought Alumina Limited for a stronger market position.
  • Sold their stake in the Ma'aden joint venture, bringing in cash.
  • Using profits to:
  • Pay off debt
  • Upgrade operations
  • Return value to shareholders

Risks Ahead

  • Indonesia plans to increase aluminum production, which could flood the market.
  • Prices could drop if:
  • Demand slows down
  • Energy costs rise
  • Stock may be overvalued right now.

Looking Ahead

Alcoa's future depends on:

  • Sustained demand
  • Limited supply

The next big test:

  • Q4 2025 earnings report

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