Bitcoin's Cycle Shake-Up: What's Changing?

A Shift in the Pattern

Bitcoin's usual four-year cycle, tied to the halving event, might be taking a break. Historically, this cycle has driven significant price surges. However, in 2025, Bitcoin ended the year lower than it started, breaking the pattern seen in 2013, 2017, and 2021.

The Halving's Impact

The halving, which cuts mining rewards in half, typically leads to a price boost. But this time, Bitcoin dropped over 30% from its peak in October. This shift has sparked debates among experts.

Diverging Opinions

• Cycle is Dead: Some argue the cycle is over, pointing to new players like institutions and ETFs, which trade based on different factors than retail investors.
• Cycle is Evolving: Others believe the cycle is still alive but changing. They note that supply dynamics and miner behavior have evolved.

Crypto Leaders Weigh In

Crypto leaders have mixed views. Some say the cycle is gone, while others think it's just different now. The consensus? The halving still matters, but it's not the only factor driving Bitcoin's price.