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Breast Cancer: Why Current Risk Tools Miss the Mark for Black Women

USAThursday, February 12, 2026
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Breast cancer presents a significant challenge, particularly for Black women. They face a higher risk, yet the tools doctors use to predict susceptibility often fall short for them. Early detection is crucial for saving lives.

Current Prediction Models

Doctors rely on models like the Gail Model and BOADICEA to assess breast cancer risk. These models consider factors such as family history, lifestyle, and genetics. However, there's a critical flaw: most of these models were developed using data primarily from white women, making them less accurate for Black women.

The Problem with Underestimation

Black women, especially those with African ancestry, often have their risk underestimated by these models. This means some women may not receive the early screenings they desperately need. This disparity is both unfair and dangerous.

Hope on the Horizon

Scientists are exploring new methods, such as polygenic risk scores, which analyze many small genetic differences. However, most of this research still relies on data from white women.

The Path Forward

To improve accuracy, scientists must include more Black women in their research. This ensures that the tools developed are fair and effective for all populations.

Immediate Actions for Doctors

In the meantime, doctors should be cautious. They must consider the limitations of these models when assessing Black women and stay updated on new research that could enhance their ability to provide better care.

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