businessneutral

Cocoa Prices Drop as West Africa Sees Good Weather

West AfricaThursday, December 18, 2025
Advertisement

Good Weather Boosts Supply

Cocoa prices have taken a dip recently. Why? Good weather in West Africa is making cocoa trees happy. Farmers in Ivory Coast and Ghana report that the mix of rain and sun is just right. This means more cocoa pods, which translates to a higher supply. More supply usually means lower prices.

Earlier Price Surge: Banks and Stocks

Earlier, prices were on the rise. Why? Some big banks predicted a cocoa shortage and cut their estimates for next year's surplus. Additionally, cocoa stocks in the US hit a 9-month low, typically pushing prices up.

Good Weather News and Shipping Boosts

Then, the good weather news broke. Farmers in Ivory Coast are shipping more cocoa to ports. This surge in supply is bad news for prices. Moreover, the European Parliament delayed a law aimed at reducing cocoa imports from regions with deforestation. This means more cocoa can enter the market, keeping prices low.

Demand Slumps

Demand for cocoa isn't strong either. Big chocolate companies like Hershey report declining sales. In Asia and Europe, cocoa processing is also down, further pressuring prices.

A Silver Lining?

There's a glimmer of hope. Nigeria, a major cocoa producer, might have a smaller crop next year. This could help prices a bit.

From Shortage to Surplus

Last year, the world faced a significant cocoa shortage. But this year, things are looking better. The International Cocoa Organization predicts a small surplus. Good news for chocolate lovers, but not so good for cocoa farmers.

Actions