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Crime Numbers Drop, But Who Gets the Credit?

USAThursday, February 12, 2026
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A recent social media post by Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, backfired when she shared a graph showing a drop in crime rates across major U.S. cities. The graph, sourced from an Axios article, seemed to support President Trump's claims about his policies reducing crime.

The Crucial Detail

However, the article itself included a crucial detail: the decline in crime began during former President Biden's last two years in office, not Trump's.

Leavitt's Response

Leavitt quickly noticed the issue and criticized Axios for their "ridiculous framing." She argued that Trump's policies, such as border security and deporting "the worst of the worst" illegal aliens, were responsible for the crime drop.

Data Discrepancy

However, data from the Department of Homeland Security shows that only a small fraction of detained migrants had violent criminal records.

Expert Opinions

Experts suggest that the decline in crime is due to various factors, not just one policy. Professor Patrick Sharkey from Princeton University explained that the reasons for the crime drop are still being studied and not yet fully understood.

Trump's Actions

Meanwhile, Trump has been vocal about his crackdown on crime in Democrat-run cities. He deployed National Guard troops in Washington D.C. and other cities, but these deployments were reportedly withdrawn without public acknowledgment.

Conclusion

The situation highlights the complexity of crime rates and the challenges of attributing them to specific policies. It also shows the importance of critical thinking when interpreting data and claims about public safety.

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