The US has seen a dramatic shift in violent crime over the past few years. The pandemic brought a sudden surge in violence, but now, things are looking up. In 2020, murders spiked by about 34 percent, reaching 22, 134 nationwide. Cities like Philadelphia and Baltimore saw record highs in homicides. Emergency rooms were flooded with gunshot victims, with a 37 percent increase in weekly visits.

Politicians took notice. By 2024, violent crime was a hot topic in the presidential election. Many Americans believed crime should be a top priority for leaders. But here’s the twist: even as the election heated up, crime rates started to drop. The FBI’s 2023 report showed a nearly 12 percent decrease in murders, and the trend continued into 2024, returning to pre-pandemic levels.

So, what’s behind this change? The pandemic’s end played a big role. Schools reopened, social services resumed, and community trust in policing began to rebuild. The government also stepped in, funding programs to interrupt violence and deter gun crimes. Cities like Baltimore saw significant drops in homicides, with emergency rooms quieter than in recent years.

But why do so many people still think crime is rising? It’s all about perception. Bad news grabs attention, and murders are shocking events that stick in our minds. Polls show that most Americans believe crime is increasing, even when it’s not. This bias can make cities seem more dangerous than they are and slow down efforts for real change.

Looking ahead, the summer months will be crucial. Crime data is still coming in, but early signs are promising. The Real-Time Crime Index shows a nearly 22 percent decrease in murders so far this year. Violent crime overall is down by about 11 percent, and motor vehicle thefts have dropped by over 26 percent. Cities like Baltimore are seeing their best crime rates in over a decade.

The pandemic was a tough time, but it also brought some unexpected changes. As the country recovers, it’s important to stay informed and challenge our perceptions. Crime trends can shift quickly, and understanding these changes can help build safer communities. The future looks brighter, but there’s still work to be done. The situation is far from perfect. Even though Floyd’s murder triggered a nationwide reckoning around police violence, recent data shows that police killings kept increasing, in part because fear of crime often stopped momentum around reforms.

Crime Trends: The Surprising Shift in US Violence

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