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France's Aging Challenge: A Financial Wake-Up Call
FranceWednesday, December 3, 2025
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France is bracing for significant demographic shifts that could strain its economy and public finances.
Aging Population
- By 2070, nearly one in three people will be over 65.
- The working-age population will decline by over 3 million.
Financial Strain
- Healthcare, pensions, and elderly care already account for over 40% of public spending.
- Public spending could reach levels not seen since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Declining Birth Rates
- France once had a higher birth rate than other European countries.
- Post-pandemic, the number of children per woman is falling, while retirees are rising.
Pension System at Risk
- The pension system relies on workers funding retirees' benefits.
- Fewer workers mean less income, while more retirees mean higher payouts.
- Experts call this the "scissor effect"—a major financial concern.
Possible Solutions
- Boosting employment among young people, seniors, and women could help.
- Immigration alone won't solve the problem; structural reforms are needed.
Political Challenges
- Last month, lawmakers suspended a pension reform that would raise the retirement age from 62 to 64.
- This delay could worsen the problem.
- Experts urge politicians to address the issue directly.
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