businessneutral

Moscow's Business Gamble: Hope and Reality

Moscow, RussiaSaturday, December 27, 2025
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Some close to President Donald Trump see Russia as a goldmine for business. They believe the country's vast resources and potential could bring big profits.

Key Players:

  • Steve Witkoff, a special envoy
  • Jared Kushner, the president's son-in-law

They argue that Russia's return to the global stage could be a win for U.S. investors.

Skeptics Warn of Risks

Experts caution that Russia's weak economy and unpredictable politics make it a risky place to invest.

  • Charles Hecker, a regional expert, says Russia isn't the treasure trove some imagine.
  • He points to:
  • Weak economy
  • Authoritarian rule
  • Lack of legal protections for businesses

Kushner's Growing Role in Foreign Policy

Kushner has taken a bigger role in foreign policy and, along with Witkoff, has been involved in talks to end the war in Ukraine.

However, Hecker warns that even if a peace deal is reached, Russia's hostility toward the West will likely continue. Western companies shouldn't expect a warm welcome anytime soon.

Investors Remain Cautious

Others agree that Russia is still a tough sell for investors.

  • Alexandra Prokopenko, a former Russian central bank official, says the idea of companies rushing back to Russia is just talk.
  • Michael Calvey, a financier with decades of experience in Russia, thinks some companies might explore options, but he doubts anyone will invest heavily in the near future.

Russia's Struggling Economy

  • Economic size: About the size of Italy's
  • Growth prospects: Poor
  • Population: Shrinking
  • Oil reserves: Declining

Alan Bigman, a former CFO of a Russian oil company, says doing business with Russia only makes sense if it's not aggressive toward its neighbors. But with the current tensions, that's not the case.

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