financeconservative
Smart Money Moves with Microsoft Stock
Friday, December 12, 2025
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Current Trading Price:
- $491.54 (Lower than recent peak, higher than recent low)
Investment Strategy:
- Shorting cash-secured puts with one-month expiry
- Potential benefits:
- Good return
- Lower buy-in price
Stock Valuation:
- Strong free cash flow and margins
- Potential worth: $682.55 per share
Previous Trade Example:
- Premium received: $7.10
- Expiry date: December 5
- Strike price: $500.00
- One-month yield: 1.42%
- Breakeven point: $492.90
Current Trade Opportunity:
- Expiry date: January 9, 2026
- Strike price: $475.00
- Midpoint premium: $5.63
- Out-of-the-money: 3.36%
- Cash required: $47,500
- Immediate income: $563
Potential Yields:
- Short-put yield: 1.185%
- Breakeven buy-in: $469.37 (4.5% below current price)
- Two-month income: $12.73
- Total yield: 2.68%
- Net breakeven: $462.73 (5.76% below current price)
Conclusion:
- Strategy: Short out-of-the-money puts
- Benefits:
- Good income
- Lower potential buy-in point
- Bottom line: Microsoft stock looks cheap; strategy can provide at least 1.1% monthly income.
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