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Soybeans Rise, Ethanol Falls and Nebraska Faces Fire Risks

USAThursday, February 26, 2026
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Soybean Market

  • In the night trade, soybean futures edged up a touch.
  • The lift came as soybean meal stayed strong and worries about wet weather in Brazil grew louder, which could delay the crop’s harvest.

Brazilian Weather Outlook

  • Rain forecasts for northeastern Brazil predict several inches of water, slowing field work.
  • The outlook is that the rains will ease in week two, allowing farmers to finish planting corn and picking soybeans.

EPA Biofuel Guidance

  • The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency sent its biofuel blending recommendations to the White House for a final rule due at the end of March.
  • The guidance could shape how much ethanol is mixed into gasoline.

Corn Prices

  • Corn prices moved up slightly as demand stays firm.
  • Colombia ordered a large shipment of U.S. corn for next year, and total exports since September have jumped 30 % year‑over‑year.

Ethanol Production

  • Production slipped to about 1.113 million barrels a day last week, down from 1.118 million the previous week.
  • The drop was mainly in the Gulf Coast area, while the Midwest saw a small rise.

Ethanol Stocks

  • Because of the lower output, ethanol stocks climbed to their highest level in a month, reaching 25.646 million barrels.
  • The increase reflects a shift from production to storage.

Nebraska Fire Alerts

  • In the heartland, Nebraska’s weather alerts warn of a dry, windy day that could spark fires.
  • Red flag warnings cover western Nebraska and eastern Wyoming, with gusts reaching 50 mph tomorrow and humidity dropping to around 10 %.

Fire‑Prone Zones

  • The National Weather Service highlights the Interstate 80 corridor and the southern Nebraska panhandle as the most fire‑prone zones, where low moisture and strong winds combine to raise danger.

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