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The Changing Fortunes of India and China's Middle Class
Friday, December 19, 2025
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A Tale of Two Economies
India and China, the world's most populous nations, have taken different paths in the last four decades.
- 1980: Neither had a significant number of people in the global middle class.
- Today: China has a large portion of its population in this group, but India has not seen the same growth.
The Puzzle of Economic Growth
Both countries opened their economies around the same time.
- China: Became known for manufacturing.
- India: Became known for services.
Yet, the results for their people are not the same.
The World Inequality Report
The World Inequality Report highlights this difference.
- Question: Why are their middle classes so different?
Possible Reasons
Growth Models
- China: Fast growth focused on manufacturing.
- India: Slower growth focused on services.
Inequality
- China: May have spread wealth more evenly.
- India: May have more inequality, leaving many people poor.
The Importance of Fair Growth
- Economic growth alone is not enough.
- It must be fair and inclusive.
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