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Venezuela's Oil: What's Next?

Venezuela, CaracasSunday, January 4, 2026
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Venezuela sits on a goldmine of oil, the largest reserves globally. President Donald Trump recently hinted that removing Nicolás Maduro from power could unlock this treasure trove. He envisions U.S. oil giants pouring billions into fixing Venezuela's broken oil infrastructure. But is it that simple?

A Shattered Industry

Venezuela's oil industry is in shambles. Years of neglect and sanctions have taken a toll. The country's oil is extra-heavy crude, requiring advanced tech and skills to extract. Plus, the infrastructure is ancient, with pipelines over 50 years old.

Trump's Vision

Trump claims the U.S. built Venezuela's oil industry and that Maduro's regime stole it. He's not wrong. But reviving it won't be a walk in the park. It'll take years and serious investment, not to mention political stability.

Global Reactions

China and Russia aren't thrilled about this turn of events. They've been big buyers of Venezuelan oil. China even condemned Maduro's removal, calling it a violation of international law. So, U.S. involvement could stir up some diplomatic trouble.

Current Landscape

For now, only Chevron operates in Venezuela, under a special license. If Trump's plan goes forward, more U.S. companies might join in. But they'll have to navigate a complex web of sanctions and political uncertainty.

Market Impact

The impact on global energy markets is unclear. Venezuela's oil is unique, perfect for U.S. Gulf Coast refineries. A boost in production could lower gas prices for consumers. But it's a long shot. The market won't see any major changes overnight.

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