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Will Your Christmas Be Snowy? Check the Odds!
USAMonday, December 22, 2025
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In the U.S., the odds of a snowy Christmas depend a lot on where you live.
Northern States Have the Best Shot
- Northern states, especially those near Canada, have the best chance.
- Places like Wisconsin, Minnesota, and North Dakota are more likely to see snow on December 25th.
- Even parts of the Northeast, like the Adirondacks and northern Maine, have a good chance.
Southern and Western States Face Lower Odds
- The chances drop as you move south and west.
- Most of South Dakota, Iowa, and the southern states have very low odds of snow.
- A big weather system is expected to bring warmer-than-normal temperatures to many areas, making it harder for snow to stick around.
Current Snow Coverage
- Right now, only about 22% of the Lower 48 states are covered in snow.
- Even in the northern areas, where it's usually colder, temperatures are expected to rise.
- This means that even places with snow might not keep it for long.
Historical Probabilities
- Historically, the northern states have the highest chances of a white Christmas.
- Minneapolis-St. Paul: 74% chance
- New York City: 13% chance
- The farther south you go, the less likely it is to snow.
- The Appalachian Mountains are an exception, with higher elevations sometimes seeing snow.
Final Thought
If you're dreaming of a white Christmas, you might want to check the odds for your area. It could make all the difference in whether you see snow or not!
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